Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 0.191462 0.216270 0.242530 0.272345 0.305197 0.340235 0.380371
2025-07-06 0.157164 0.190331 0.227470 0.271943 0.323548 0.381331 0.450708
2025-07-13 0.134439 0.172966 0.218240 0.274950 0.343635 0.423658 0.523432
2025-07-20 0.119191 0.161841 0.214141 0.282267 0.367858 0.470975 0.603648
2025-07-27 0.104954 0.149871 0.207167 0.284514 0.384955 0.509623 0.674526
2025-08-03 0.094706 0.141618 0.203641 0.290094 0.405693 0.552974 0.752521
2025-08-10 0.087090 0.135881 0.202537 0.298175 0.429449 0.600614 0.837464
2025-08-17 0.077503 0.126218 0.194989 0.296531 0.439532 0.630224 0.899517
2025-08-24 0.069696 0.118232 0.188911 0.296107 0.450704 0.661162 0.963933
2025-08-31 0.062825 0.110883 0.182988 0.295182 0.460666 0.690351 1.026541
2025-09-07 0.058506 0.107034 0.181827 0.300892 0.480035 0.732944 1.108749
2025-09-14 0.053399 0.101359 0.177336 0.301107 0.491086 0.763877 1.175329
2025-09-21 0.048470 0.095647 0.172561 0.300894 0.501959 0.795711 1.245555
2025-09-28 0.044082 0.090397 0.168068 0.300721 0.512715 0.827626 1.316910
2025-10-05 0.040827 0.086806 0.165975 0.304141 0.529009 0.868155 1.402080
2025-10-12 0.038685 0.085023 0.166750 0.312189 0.552797 0.920628 1.506517
2025-10-19 0.035833 0.081582 0.164347 0.314682 0.567665 0.959885 1.592201
2025-10-26 0.033791 0.079492 0.164133 0.320782 0.588511 1.008894 1.694014
2025-11-02 0.032299 0.078342 0.165491 0.329593 0.614074 1.065964 1.809734
2025-11-09 0.029516 0.074223 0.161031 0.327812 0.621728 1.094871 1.882480
2025-11-16 0.027162 0.070742 0.157474 0.327354 0.631457 1.127219 1.961332
2025-11-23 0.024960 0.067338 0.153779 0.326350 0.640067 1.157862 2.038156
2025-11-30 0.023732 0.065986 0.153997 0.332566 0.661416 1.209833 2.150310